Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.801870 0.941487 1.092424 1.267033 1.462751 1.674655 1.920704
2025-05-11 0.553525 0.740659 0.963178 1.243849 1.584781 1.981796 2.475128
2025-05-18 0.406622 0.615203 0.885755 1.253716 1.731684 2.321784 3.094632
2025-05-25 0.293889 0.502016 0.795498 1.223306 1.813045 2.578577 3.626140
2025-06-01 0.227587 0.434859 0.749917 1.237540 1.943987 2.899187 4.252659
2025-06-08 0.174516 0.373174 0.698131 1.230343 2.037322 3.169012 4.822386
2025-06-15 0.147354 0.347153 0.694756 1.290868 2.227993 3.580016 5.602072
2025-06-22 0.121403 0.316068 0.676417 1.322853 2.374850 3.933656 6.316170
2025-06-29 0.093667 0.273194 0.629170 1.299459 2.430678 4.153773 6.846414
2025-07-06 0.077192 0.249280 0.611609 1.322485 2.559006 4.485473 7.550299
2025-07-13 0.063245 0.226719 0.592191 1.338519 2.674733 4.801250 8.241281
2025-07-20 0.051514 0.205660 0.571670 1.348964 2.779774 5.103209 8.921173
2025-07-27 0.040341 0.182364 0.543141 1.342803 2.859199 5.374656 9.576535
2025-08-03 0.030020 0.156825 0.504364 1.311532 2.891666 5.572493 10.128040
2025-08-10 0.023691 0.141259 0.485811 1.318766 2.993632 5.888744 10.878250
2025-08-17 0.017231 0.121075 0.450780 1.285827 3.016936 6.072800 11.422739
2025-08-24 0.013660 0.110378 0.438262 1.300059 3.129767 6.412533 12.229273
2025-08-31 0.010285 0.097863 0.417467 1.292333 3.198189 6.677252 12.920769
2025-09-07 0.009009 0.095498 0.426311 1.355107 3.410728 7.202970 14.061193
2025-09-14 0.007384 0.089698 0.423153 1.388279 3.564781 7.630190 15.049102
2025-09-21 0.005264 0.078136 0.398168 1.363961 3.598000 7.840893 15.677311
2025-09-28 0.004176 0.072679 0.392485 1.387866 3.733339 8.241657 16.640338
2025-10-05 0.003233 0.067003 0.384471 1.404513 3.853739 8.618841 17.572948